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Investment Calculator

Project what an investment could grow to, then see the same figure in today’s money. The gap between those two numbers is what inflation quietly takes.

Your portfolio

Set a return you can defend, net of fund fees.

Contributions

$6,000/yr

Assumptions

Subtract fund fees first — a 0.5% expense ratio is 0.5% less return.

The long-run US average is around 2.5%–3%.

25 years

Real return after inflation: 4.39%

Nominal versus inflation-adjusted growth

The dashed line is what the balance will actually buy, in today's money.

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Why the two figures differ

At 2.50% inflation, prices roughly 1.85× over 25 years. That is why $548,171 then has the purchasing power of $295,678 today. Both numbers are correct — only the second tells you what the money will buy.

Year-by-year projection

What this assumes

  • A constant nominal return compounded monthly, with contributions at each month end.
  • Inflation applied at a constant rate to convert future dollars into today’s.
  • No taxes, fund fees or trading costs are deducted — model your return net of fees.
  • Markets deliver a sequence of returns, not an average one. Treat this as an illustration, not a forecast.

Nominal returns versus real returns

A nominal return is the headline number. A real return is what is left once inflation has taken its share, and it is the only one that tells you whether your purchasing power actually grew.

The exact relationship is real = (1 + nominal) ÷ (1 + inflation) − 1. At a 7% return and 2.5% inflation the real return is 4.39%, not the 4.5% that simple subtraction suggests. Over long horizons that small difference compounds into a meaningful one.

This matters most for the headline figure. A portfolio projected to reach $1.5 million in thirty years at 2.5% inflation has the purchasing power of about $715,000 today. Both numbers are correct; only one of them tells you what the money will buy.

Choosing a return assumption

The return you assume is by far the most influential input, and it is also the one you know least about. A few reference points, all before fees and taxes:

US large-cap stocks
Have averaged roughly 10% a year nominally over the long run, with individual years ranging from −37% to +38%.
A 60/40 stock and bond portfolio
Historically nearer 7%–8% nominal, with materially smaller drawdowns.
Investment-grade bonds
Typically 4%–5% nominal over long periods.
Cash and savings accounts
Roughly track inflation over time, which means a real return close to zero.

Why fees deserve their own line in your thinking

A 1% annual fee does not cost you 1% of your outcome. It compounds against you exactly as returns compound for you.

$500 a month for thirty years at 7% grows to about $566,000. At 6% — the same portfolio with a one percent fee — it reaches roughly $475,000. The fee consumed around $91,000, or 16% of the final balance, for one percentage point a year. Model your expected return net of fees rather than gross.

What a projection cannot tell you

Markets do not deliver an average return each year; they deliver a sequence. Two portfolios with identical average returns can end up in very different places if one suffered its worst years early while money was being withdrawn.

Treat a projection as an illustration of how contributions, time and rate interact — not as a forecast. Its most useful output is comparative: what changes if I save $200 more a month, or start three years earlier, or accept one percent less in fees.

Frequently asked questions

US large-cap stocks have averaged around 10% a year nominally over the long term, a 60/40 stock and bond mix nearer 7%–8%, and investment-grade bonds 4%–5%. Many planners use 6%–7% nominal for a diversified portfolio to stay conservative. Whatever you choose, subtract your fund fees first — a 0.5% expense ratio is a 0.5% lower return, every year.